投資于液體或非流動資產
投資于液體或非流動資產
Investing In Liquid Or Non Liquid Assets
流動性被發現是企業融資(瀝青和邁爾斯,1996)領域一個未解決的最重要的問題。此外,同樣的研究發現,流動性管理的精確確定未來投資機會和未來外部借款的能力。
一般而言，公司投資于最具流動性的資產。流動資產占總資本或資產的相當一部分，對公司的風險和盈利能力有著更重要的影響（約1993）。例如，根據基姆、莫爾、舍曼（1998）、現金、有價證券總資產的平均比率（流動性）為8.1%在1975～1994年，這為美國915家企業樣本。基姆等（1998）分析持有流動資產的成本和收益，并得出結論認為，投資于流動資產（例如，財政部證券）是更昂貴的，因為投資于流動資產，公司接受投資的機會成本較低的流動性和更有益的資產；此外，公司還承擔交易金融證券交易成本。但由于資本市場的不完善，企業管理的顯著和可預測的超額流動資產的數量，提供了一個強大的邏輯，以保持一定的流動性，以解決一些緊急情況。Huberman（1984），Ang （1991），梅爾斯和拉詹（1995）曾指出，流動資產小于流動資產可能會帶來更嚴重的代理問題。
具體來說,當且僅當外部融資成本,對流動資產的投資是最有利的回復，必須尋求昂貴的外部融資基金，未來生產需求或投資機會和外部融資的成本，包括直接成本發行證券,帶來潛在的代理沖突,成本和費用由信息不對稱引發的逆向選擇問題(史密斯,1986)。
CHAPTER 1:——第一部分
Liquidity was found to be one of the most important unresolved problems in the field of corporate finance (Brealy and Myers, 1996). In addition, the same studies found that the liquidity management was the pinpoint of determining both future investment opportunities and future capacity of external borrowing.
Firms, in general, invested in the most liquid assets. Liquid assets made up a considerable segment of total capital or assets and had the more important implications for the risk and profitability of firms (John, 1993). For instance, according to Kim, Mauer, and Sherman (1998), the average ratio of cash plus marketable securities to total assets (Liquidity) was 8.1% during the period of 1975 to 1994 of a sample of 915 industrial firms of the United States of America. Kim et al. (1998) analyzed both the costs and benefits of holding the liquid assets and concluded that the investment in liquid assets (e.g., Treasury Securities) was more costly because by investing in liquid assets, the firms accepted opportunity cost of investing in less liquid and more rewarding assets; furthermore, the firms also bear transaction costs of trading financial securities. But firms managed significant and predictable amounts of excess liquid asset holdings because of the capital market imperfections provided a strong logic to maintain some excess liquidity to tackle some emergencies. Huberman (1984), Ang (1991), and Myers and Rajan (1995) had noted that liquid assets might prompt more severe agency problems than less liquid assets.#p#分頁標題#e#
Specifically, if and only if the external financing was costly, the investment in liquid assets was the most advantageous reply to having to seek costly external financing to fund future production needs or investment opportunities and the costs of external financing included the direct expense to issue securities, the costs arising from potential agency conflicts, and costs arising from the adverse selection problems attributable to asymmetric information (Smith, 1986). Thus, investment in surplus liquidity can be viewed as a cost-effectively rational way to reduce the firm's reliance on costly external financing. Obviously, any such remuneration must be balanced against the holding costs that liquid assets force on the firm. Liquid assets earned a low rate of return as compared to the less liquid assets. However, the firms despite decided to hold a positive amount of liquid assets provided undecided future in-house funds and costly external financing. Hence, it was concluded that there was a tradeoff between the holding cost of liquid assets (a low rate of return) and the benefit of minimizing the need to seek costly external financing if internally generated funds were insufficient to finance future investment opportunities.
According to Horne and Bowers (1968), liquidity can be expressed as the ability to realize value in an accepted means of exchange. Being the acceptable means of exchange, money was the most liquid asset and was also a benchmark against which the value of other type of monetary assets was compared as to its degree of replacement. In addition, liquidity had two dimensions: the one was the time required to convert the asset into money, and the other was the certainty of the price realized, i.e., the stability of the exchange ratio between the money and the asset.
In the business world, there was the high corporate demand for liquidity and firms in the real, financial and industrial sectors managed its liquidity needs in the numerous ways in order to carry out further production and investment plans efficiently without being stopped by impermanent liquidity deficiencies. The firms’ decisions regarding the future ability to avail financial funds was affected by several key factors such as the capital structure set deadlines for settling the amounts to investors, corporations did not invest all of its resources in the most profitable, long term projects and in fact they also invested funds in less profitable liquid assets, the corporations engaged in the risk management and derivatives were used to evade the particular risks (such as rate risk, exchange rate risk, etc.), and lastly, international risk burden was also measured by the companies. (Holmstrom and Tirole, 2000)
1.2 Problem Statement——問題陳述
In the corporate finance, the liquidity was considered to be one of the most important issues. The main objective behind the study of the corporate liquidity was that this was the most important issue for the present firms to either invest in the more liquid assets or to invest in the less liquid assets. Furthermore, investment in liquid assets was prompted by several other factors such as the future investment opportunities and future uncertain cash flows and the external costly financing. Contrastingly, the investment in less liquid assets attracted the corporations because of the high rate of return of such investments.#p#分頁標題#e#
The purpose of the study was to notice whether the financial factors explained in detail by Kim and David and Ann (1998), and John (1993), present the detail regarding the choice of the firm to invest in liquid or non liquid assets in Pakistan. The scope of study was to analyze the distinctive financial factors which affected the firms’ decisions to place their funds in more liquid assets and on the basis of firms’ financial factors, the research study determined the choice of investing in liquid assets or the choice of having internal liquidity.
1.3 Hypotheses——假設
A central query in front of firms which needed new finance to invest in operational activities was whether to use internal funds generated through the most liquid assets or to raise the costly external financing. Various factors impacted the decision regarding the decision to invest in liquid assets (liquidity). The firm’s characteristics had the great importance in selection of the investment decisions; these characteristics were firm size, operating income to sales ratio, operating income to total assets ratio, market to book ratio, inventory plus gross fixed assets to total assets ratio, log natural of annual sales, total debt ratio, and long term debt ratio. Many authors as Kim and David and Ann (1998), John (1993) discussed these characteristics in research. The hypothesized relationship of these listed factors with liquidity is provided below:
H1: There is negative impact of Firm Size on Liquidity.
H2: There is negative impact of Total Debt Ratio on Liquidity.
H3: There is negative impact of Long-Term Debt Ratio on Liquidity.
H4: There is positive impact of the ratio of the Market to Book Value of Equity on Liquidity.
H5: There is positive impact of the ratio of Operating Income to Sales on Liquidity.
H6: There is negative impact of the Operating Income to Total Assets ratio on Liquidity.
H7: There is negative impact of the ratio of Inventory plus Gross fixed assets to Total Assets on Liquidity.
H8: There is positive impact of sales of firms on liquidity.
1.4 Outline of the Study——研究大綱
The research structured as follows. Chapter one was based on the introduction of the thesis, which consists of the some introduction of the liquidity by different authors, the statement of problem, scope and objectives, hypothesis etc. Chapter two consisted of literature review given by different authors, theories on liquidity and factors affecting the choice of decision to invest in more liquid assets or not. Chapter three described methodology which is composed of justification of the selection of the variables utilized in analysis sample, the data, technique and hypothesis, also estimate model utilized in analysis. In chapter four, analyses of the results were there which were taken after the data processing. Chapter five contained the final results, conclusions and recommendations. References were included in chapter number six.#p#分頁標題#e#
CHAPTER 2:——第二部分
LITERATURE REVIEW——文獻綜述
When a firm wanted to invest in a project or production facilities, there was a question before the firm that it should use its own funds or retained earnings or raise an external financing. The firm’s answer to this question did not affect the wealth of security holders in the world of Miller and Modigliani (1961) where the capital markets were perfect. However, among other things, the capital market perfection means the absence of liquidity problems. Resultantly, all assets can be exchanged for cash and vice versa and that exchange was made at the market value and it does not entail a loss. (Huberman, 1984)
The real markets were not quite perfect and one can see a variety of reasons about it. Consider the example of firms wishing to finance new projects by issuing claims on the projects. If the firms knew more about the projects than the outside world knew and the claims were considered risky, a market collapse may take place (Ackerlof, 1970). If the firms believed their projects were good, will perceive that their claims were undervalued by the market and will not issue such claims and only the projects of pessimistic firms will be financed (Huberman, 1984).
Finally, it was the best option that a firm used its own liquid assets to invest quickly without going to the capital market under certain circumstances. Hence, it was the most desirable that a firm possesses the excess liquid assets in the real world of capital markets imperfection (Huberman, 1984).
There was a vast literature available on the liquidity and one of the most prominent theories of liquidity is the Liquidity Preference Hypothesis (LPH).
2.1 Liquidity Preference Hypothesis (LPH):——流動性偏好假說(液體變阻器)
The Liquidity Preference Hypothesis (LPH) gave details that the return on government securities was a monotonically rising function of the time to maturity. That was, restricted on all on hand information, the probable monthly return on a T-bill with one year to maturity should surpass the probable monthly return on a six month T-bill, which should be better than the sure yield on a one month T-bill, and so on. Regardless of the shape of the term structure or any other economic variables contained in the agent’s information set, the LPH meant this condition. The underlying intuition behind the LPH was that the longer term bonds are riskier; that was, they were more susceptible to the fluctuations or volatility in interest rate than the shorter term bonds and the individuals needed to be compensated for the risk of holding these bonds, hence, the higher predicted yield. (Boudoukh, and Richardson, and Smith, and Whitelaw, 1999)
The LPH did not worry about the choices investors made between the whole variety of financial assets, on the one hand, and other broad classes of assets, on the other. LPH took as given the choices determining how much wealth was to be invested in financial assets and concerned itself with the distribution of these amounts among cash and substitute financial assets. An issue can be identified here; that is, why should any balances be held in cash, in preference to other financial assets? The author distinguished two possible sources of liquidity preference, while recognizing that they were not mutually exclusive. The first was inelasticity of expectations of future interest rates. The second was insecurity about be future of interest rates. (Tobin, 1958)#p#分頁標題#e#
Tobin (1958) argued liquidity preference as the theory of most advantageous portfolio masterpiece in a two-asset (money, bonds) world in which one asset (money) was riskless in his original paper. The basic conclusion of Tobin’s theory of liquidity preference and portfolio choice rested on the properties entitled to these µ-??? curves.
According to Lachmann (1937), in current literature there appeared to be present a reasonable amount of conformity among writers that uncertainty had to be looked upon as the foremost determinant of movements in the size of cash balances, i.e., as the main cause of liquidity preference. At more rapidly scrutiny, though, this noticeable agreement came out as to some extent full of twists and turns, because diverse writers gave this word a different meaning. In the following, it was only restricted to the assessment of two examples of monetary theories in both of which the most important role was allocated to uncertainty, and it was found based on the research that in each case the word had a different meaning. After that, the results of the critical assessment of these theories will be used in the best way with the intention to find that meaning of “uncertainty" which will enable the research study to regard it as the cause of liquidity preference. Uncertainty was but one of a lot of grounds of liquidity preference. Possibly the failure of the author to set up a causal association between uncertainty and liquidity preference was due to the author’s having used the word uncertainty in too broad and too indefinite a meaning. The endeavor to ascertain a causal association between uncertainty and liquidity preference had up to now driven out to be an absolute failure.
Wells (1983) had publicized that want for liquidity was an indispensable economic reaction to the not able to be understood and considerably variegated future which always lied to the front. Liquidity was valued in an indecisive world because it afforded economic units the preference of not entirely host aging their own economic future to the uncertain future of the economy. Its ownership provided businesses and households the elasticity to reorganize their economic plans, to redistribute their wealth as the future slowly opens out and becomes the past, as acquaintance was gained with the simple passage of time. In short, this was Keynes's (1937) theory of liquidity preference. And from just this explanation it can be simply understood why his hypothesis, as it was remade by subsequent generation of writers, turned out to be detached from Keynes's (1937) unambiguous acknowledgment of the central significance of time and uncertainty, of liquidity and liquidity preference. The disconnection came about largely because the fact that "our information of the future was unpredictable, indistinguishable, and doubtful" demonstrated to be a perception far too short lived to support contemporary quantitative model building research. Keynes's concepts were real, but they were necessarily so unclear and imprecise that model builders could not well integrate these phenomena into their analytics.#p#分頁標題#e#
Kaldor (1981, 1982) for instance observed that the stress on liquidity preference as a theory of the demand for money had made an immense contribution to the accomplishment of monetarism. As long as the demand for money could be shown statistically to be less than perfectly elastic and the supply of money to be determined independently enough from the demand, the supply of money was the major determinant of economic activity. This investigation presented here puts emphasis that liquidity preference was a theory of the desire to hold short- versus long-term assets and that the state of liquidity preference was presided over primarily by the productivity of business. (Mott, 1985-1986)
According to the Keynes’s liquidity preference theory, the authorities achieved their objectives, which the author understood to be set with respect to the level of the interest rate, against the background of liquidity preference. The interest rate was changed not only by varying the rate at which the central bank was all set to discount (Bank rate), but also by open market operations: sale or purchase of securities between the central bank and the other market members.
According to Reilly and Brown (2005), the theory of Liquidity Preference hold that the higher returns must be given on the long term investments than the shorter ones because some of the yields and returns to invest in the short term investments were given up by the investors in order to avoid the greater price fluctuations of the securities having longer life. Another way to interpret the liquidity preference hypothesis was to say that lenders preferred short term loans, and, to induce them to lend long term, it was necessary to offer higher yields. The liquidity preference theory was also called the Term Premium Theory and it asserted that uncertainty and volatility caused investors to favor short term issues over bonds with longer maturities because short term securities were less volatile and can easily be converted into predictable amounts of cash should unforeseen events occur. This theory argued that the yield curve generally sloped upward and that any other shape should be viewed as a temporary deviation. To see how the liquidity preference theory predicted the future yields and how it compensated with the pure expectations hypothesis, to predict future long term rates from a single set of one year rates: 6 percent, 7.5 percent, and 8.5 percent. The liquidity preference theory suggested that investors added increasing liquidity premiums to the successive rates to derive actual market rates. As an example, investors might arrive at rates of 6.3 percent, 7.9 percent, and 9.0 percent. As a matter of the historical fact, the yield curve showed an upward bias, which implied that some combination of the liquidity preference theory and expectations theory will more accurately explain the shape of the yield curve than either of them alone. Specifically, actual long term rates consistently tended to be above what was envisioned from the price expectations hypothesis. This tendency implied the existence of a liquidity premium. The liquidity premium was provided to compensate the long term investor.#p#分頁標題#e#
CHAPTER 3:——第三部分
RESEARCH METHODS——研究方法
3.1 Method of Data Collection——收集資料方法
Data was collected from Karachi Stock Exchange KSE 100 Index as given by State Bank of Pakistan in publication Balance Sheet Analysis of Joint Stock Companies Listed on the KSE (2003-2008). The period of study covered six years, 2003-08. The opted sample size of 70 non financial firms was taken from KSE 100 Index and all of the non financial firms listed on KSE 100 Index were selected for the samples which were either manufacturing firms or service providing firms excluding the financial firms. The objective behind the exclusion of the financial firms from the sample was that liquidity impact of the financial firms and non financial firms was entirely different.
3.2 Sample Size——樣本量
A sample of 70 non financial firms from KSE 100 Index was taken. Only firms were used in the samples which were only the non financial firms which included the industrial firms and service providing firms listed on the KSE 100 Index form 2003-2008. The impact of the different financial factors on the liquidity was analyzed on all of the non financial firms selected as the sample.
3.3 Research Model Developed——研究模型
There were various financial factors of the non financial firms which affected the liquidity of the firms. This research study analyzed the impact of different factors on the liquidity.
The factors, their relation with the liquidity, their measurement formula and the hypothesized relationship with liquidity were discussed below following the discussion after ‘Liquidity’.
3.3.1 Liquidity——流動性
According to Horne and Bowers (1968), Liquidity can be expressed as the ability to realize value in an accepted means of exchange. Being the acceptable means of exchange, money was the most liquid asset and is also a benchmark against which the value of other type of monetary assets was compared as to its degree of replacement. In addition, liquidity has two dimensions: the one was the time required to convert the asset into money, and the other was the certainty of the price realized, i.e., the stability of the exchange ratio between the money and the asset. Kim and David and Ann (1998), and John (1993) both measured the liquidity as the ratio of cash and marketable securities to total assets.
3.3.2 Firm Size and Liquidity——公司規模和流動性
Recent research showed that small firms were more likely to face borrowing constraints than large firms Gertler and Hubbard (1988), Whited (1992), and Fazzari and Petersen (1993). In addition, Barclay and Smith (1996) argued that the cost of external financing was smaller for larger firms because of scale economies resulting from a substantial fixed cost component of security issuance costs.#p#分頁標題#e#
H1: There is negative impact of firm size on liquidity.
3.3.3 Total Debt Ratio and Liquidity——總負債比率和流動性
The firm's debt ratio was expected to be negatively related to liquid assets. There were at least two reasonable reasons. Baskin (1987) argued that as the firm's debt ratio increased, the cost of funds used to invest in liquidity increased thereby reducing funded liquidity. Additionally, John (1993) argued that firms with access to debt markets-as proxied by the debt ratio-can use borrowing as a substitute for maintaining a stock of liquid assets. Firms with ready access to debt markets and other sources of borrowing can also use debt as a substitute for liquidity maintenance.
H2: There is negative impact of total debt ratio on liquidity.
3.3.4 Long Term Debt Ratio and Liquidity——長期債務比率和流動性
Baskin (1987) argued that as the firm's long term debt ratio increased, the cost of funds used to invest in liquidity increased thereby reducing funded liquidity. Additionally, John (1993) argued that firms with access to debt markets-as proxied by the long term debt ratio-can use borrowing as a substitute for maintaining a stock of liquid assets. Firms with ready access to debt markets and other sources of borrowing can also use debt as a substitute for liquidity maintenance.
H3: There is negative impact of long term debt ratio on liquidity.
3.3.5 Operating Income to Total Assets and Sales Ratio and Liquidity——營業收入總資產和銷售比例和流動性
According to John (1993), similarly, operating incomes or cash flows provided a ready source of liquidity. Firms with ready access to debt markets and other sources of borrowing can also use debt as a substitute for liquidity maintenance. Therefore, firms with good operating incomes (OI/S or OI/TA) or ready sources of financing (proxied by measures of debt) can afford to keep lower levels of liquidity. Hence, liquidity ratios (LIQR) would be lower for firms with higher operating incomes.
H4: There is negative impact of operating income to total assets ratio on liquidity.
H5: There is negative impact of operating income to sales ratio on liquidity.
3.3.6 Inventory and Gross Plant and Equipment to Total Assets Ratio and Liquidity——庫存和生產總值(gdp)廠房和設備總資產比率和流動性
Another measure of the liquidity costs of asset restructuring was the "collateral value" of the assets Shleifer and Vishny (1992). Titman and Wessels (1988) suggested proxies for the "collateral value." The ratio of inventory plus gross plant and equipment to total assets (IGP/TA) was positively related to collateral value. The liquidity costs of asset restructuring were negatively related to "collateral value." A firm with assets of high collateral value needed only to maintain low levels of liquidity. In other words, the liquidity measures will be decreasing in IGP/TA.#p#分頁標題#e#
H6: There is negative impact of inventory and gross plant and equipment to total assets ratio on liquidity.
3.3.7 Market to Book Ratio and Liquidity——市凈率和流動性
Myers (1977) argued that risky debt financing may engender sub- optimal investment incentives when a firm's investment opportunity set included growth options. Managers acting on behalf of equity holders may fail to exercise profitable investment options because debt captured a portion of equity holders' return in the form of a reduction in the probability of default. The firm can reduce the risk of financial distress and thereby mitigate the incentive to under invest in growth options by maintaining excess liquidity. This view also predicted a positive relation between corporate liquidity and the market-to-book ratio.
H7: There is positive impact of market to book ratio on liquidity.
3.3.8 Sales and Liquidity——銷售和流動性
According to John (1993), the variable sale was one of the control variables to account for the level of liquidity justified by transaction and precautionary motives. The variable sales proxy for the transaction needs of the firm.
H8: There is positive impact of sales on liquidity.
The model developed was a linear model and its specifications are provided below:
LIQR = a0 + a1FIRM + a2DEBT + a3LTD + a4LSALES + a5OI/S + a6OI/TA+
a7 IGP/TA+ a8Market to Book Ratio + ?
LIQR = the sum of cash and marketable securities divided by total assets
FIRM = natural log of the book value of total assets
DEBT = the ratio of shorter period plus longer period debt to total assets
LTD = the ratio of longer period debt to total assets
LSALES = natural log of the annual sales
OI/S = the ratio of operating income to sales
OI/TA = the ratio of operating income to total sales
IGP/TA = the inventory plus gross fixed assets to total assets ratio
? = the error term
The proposed relationship of the independent variables on liquidity is summarized in the below table:
TABLE 3.1 : Relationship between Independent Variables and Liquidity
Firm Size
Debt
LTD
OI/TA
OI/S
IGP/TA
Market to Book
Sales
Liquidity
negative
negative
negative
negative
positive
negative
positive
positive
3.4 Statistical Technique——統計方法
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis (MLR) technique was used for this research study to examine the impact of the distinctive financial characteristics of the non financial firms on their liquidity of the selected firms; Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) was used for the examination of the secondary data.#p#分頁標題#e#
Multiple Regression Analysis technique was used for the purpose of prediction of the decision of the non financial firms to invest in the liquid assets or not. The selected technique was used to study the impact of the different independent variables (financial factors as listed in the previous chapters) on the dependent variable i.e., liquidity. The multiple regression analysis was selected for this study because the multivariate analysis was more suitable than univariate investigation. In such a way; to openly taking into consideration, the interaction between multiple regressing variables, the study included the derivation of the linear regression function. It showed the intensity of the impact on liquidity during year 2003-2008 on the basis of several independent variables.
CHAPTER 4:——第四部分
RESULTS——結果
The sample of 70 non financial firms from the Karachi Stock Exchange KSE 100 Index was taken; Multiple Regression Analysis (MLR) technique was used for this research study. Researcher examined the distinctive financial characteristics of non financial firms which invest in the more liquid assets. The selected technique was used to study the impact of the different independent variables (financial factors as listed in the previous chapters) on the dependent variable i.e., Liquidity.
4.1 Findings and Interpretation of the results——發現和解釋的結果
Initially, the regression technique was applied on the data collected using SPSS. It was obvious from the results that there was the existence of strong multicollinearity among the predictors of the liquidity and this implies that there was strong interrelationship present among the independent variables. Hence, the results generated through SPSS were purely biased. In addition, there was the absence of the normality among the variables. Due to non normality, the results were not providing the true picture of the impact of the different predictors on the study variable.
While resolving the problem, it was noticed that the main cause of the multicollinearity among the predictors was due to the two independent variables including firm size and annual sales. So, annual sales variable was removed from the analysis of the impact of different factors on liquidity. Hence, the multicollinearity issue was resolved.
In resolving the issue of normality, various transformations were applied on the variable in order to normalize the variable so that the results could be more reliable; and accurate outlook of the true picture of liquidity can be made. Ultimately, all the issues were successfully resolved which were creating hindrances in the way of accuracy of results.
Now, proceeding with the analysis of the results because the data was normal and there was also no multicollinearity issue in the data. The interpretation and analysis is presented in the next sections of this research study.#p#分頁標題#e#
TABLE 4.1 : Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.724a
.524
.439
.06894
Table 4.1 showed the summary regarding the regression model. The R square of 52.4% in the above table showed that the all the predictors of liquidity combined together explained 52.4% variation in the dependent variable and the remaining variation was unexplained or latent predictors were not included in the model.
TABLE 4.2 : ANOVA
Model
Sum of Squares
Df
Mean Square
F
Sig.
1
Regression
.204
7
.029
6.141
.000a
Residual
.185
39
.005
Total
.390
46
The table 4.2 checked the significance of the linear regression model in such a way that the reliability of the data file regarding the applicability of the regression technique can be understood from the above table; however, ANOVA table was reliable test of checking the linear regression model’s ability to explain any variation in the dependent variable of liquidity. This was perfectly obvious from the sig value of .000 which meant that the linear regression model was highly significant for the data collected for the research study conducted.
TABLE 4.3 : Coefficients
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients
t
Sig.
Collinearity Statistics
B
Std. Error
Beta
Tolerance
VIF
1
(Constant)
.379
.146
2.597
.013
Debt Ratio
.053
.450
.018
.119
.906
.515
1.942
Long-Term Debt Ratio
.718
.842
.138
.854
.398
.466
2.148
Operating Income to Total Assets Ratio
.718
.967
.144
.742
.462
.325
3.072
Square Root of Operating Income to Total Sales Ratio
.449
.389
.202
1.154
.255
.397
2.519
Square Root of Inventory plus gross plant and equipment to total assets
-.823
.168
-.648
-4.891
.000
.696
1.438
Natural Logarithm of Market to Book ratio
.001
.017
.010
.066
.948
.534
1.871
Firm Size
.000
.009
.000
-.001
.999#p#分頁標題#e#
.858
1.166
In the table 4.3, the final model of regression included only one independent variable which was square root of inventory plus gross fixed assets to total assets ratio. This was included in the model because this was the only variable which was highly significant in playing a vital role in explaining the variation in the dependent variable of liquidity ratio. In short, these results were not consistent with the results of Kim and David and Ann (1998), and John (1993). The other independent variables were not significant in explaining the variation in the dependent variable of liquidity ratio because firstly, the economic and the financial environment was different; secondly, the behavior of the non financial firms was not same as that of the foreign firms in regard of liquidity; and lastly, the decisions of the firms regarding the portion of their investments in liquidity were affected by the political situation and the security threats of Pakistan.
4.2 Hypotheses Assessment Summary——假設評估總結
The hypothesis of the study was distinctive financial factors had significant impact on the non financial firms’ decision to invest in more liquid assets. These financial characteristics were market to book ratio, inventory plus gross fixed assets to total assets ratio, operating income to sales ratio, firm size, operating income to total assets ratio, total debt ratio, long term debt ratio, and natural log of sales. In this study each of the financial characteristic of non financial firms was tested and concluded the results.
TABLE 4.4 : Hypotheses Assessment Summary
S.NO.
Hypotheses
β
t
SIG.
RESULT
H1
There is negative impact of Total Debt Ratio on Liquidity.
0.053
0.119
0.906
Rejected
H2
There is negative impact of Long-Term Debt Ratio on Liquidity.
0.718
0.742
0.398
Rejected
H3
There is positive impact of the market to book ratio on Liquidity.
0.001
0.66
0.948
Rejected
H4
There is positive impact of the ratio of Operating Income to Sales on Liquidity.
0.449
1.154
0.255
Rejected
H5
There is negative impact of the Operating Income to Total Assets ratio on Liquidity.
0.718
0.742
0.462
Rejected
H6
There is negative impact of the ratio of Inventory plus Gross fixed assets to Total Assets on Liquidity.
-0.823
-4.891
0.000
Accepted
H7
There is positive impact of firm size on liquidity.
0
-0.001
0.999
Rejected
H8
There is positive impact of sales on liquidity.
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Rejected
CHAPTER 5:——第五部分
DISCUSSIONS, CONCLUSION, IMPLICATIONS AND FUTURE RESEARCH——討論,結論,意義和未來的研究
5.1 Conclusion——結論
It was concluded based on the results of this research study that inventory plus gross plant and equipment ratio was only the independent variable which was showing significance in Pakistani market. And the remaining independent variables could not explain the variation in liquidity. These results were not matching with the study conducted by Kim and David and Ann (1998), and John (1993). These results were varying because in various countries, the macroeconomic conditions and the financial environment were entirely different from each other and in addition, the security problems and political situation also affected the liquidity and firms made decision accordingly.
5.2 Discussions——討論
Firm size could not play a significant role in defining the liquidity in this research thesis and this was also the case with the research study conducted by Kim and David and Ann (1998) because in their study the firm size was not playing a significant role. The variation in the liquidity was not explained by the market to book ratio while it was significant in the study done by Kim and David and Ann (1998). The operating income to sales ratio, operating income to total assets ratio, debt ratio, long term debt ratio, and sales were not significantly explaining the variation in the liquidity and study analyzed by John (1993) provided different results from that of the results concluded by this research thesis.
5.3 Implications and Recommendations——影響和建議
This research was limited to the various firms listed on Karachi Stock Exchange of Pakistan only. The data taken from 70 non financial firms which were took through various sectors of the KSE 100 Index for the year 2003-08. It suggested that such type of study should be carried out in other countries of Asia as well, as to have comprehensive idea about the choices of the firms’ decision to invest in liquid assets. Moreover, it also suggested that other factors except ones examined in this study should be researched as to have perfect idea about the selection of liquidity decisions. Besides that, this study can also be replicated in other developing countries.
5.4 Future Research——未來的研究
This study helped various investors, management and other research conductors in analyzing and observing the behavior of firms regarding their decisions to invest in liquid assets. Research students who want to work further on liquidity can be benefited by this research study. Further more, the non financial firms will become advantageous from this study because the study clarified the distinctive characteristics of different firms which significantly explained the variations in the liquidity.#p#分頁標題#e#